Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 31Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Colegiales, Vicente López, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Colegiales the favourite at 62%, against 26% for a draw and 12% for Chacarita Juniors. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Colegiales (1,762) and Chacarita Juniors (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colegiales have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Chacarita Juniors have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Almagro(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Patronato(home) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Quilmes(away) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Agropecuario(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Colegiales win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Chacarita Juniors win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors 2-0 Colegiales | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 13, 2014 | Chacarita Juniors 2-1 Colegiales | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 21, 2014 | Colegiales 0-1 Chacarita Juniors | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 16, 2014 | Chacarita Juniors 1-0 Colegiales | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 14, 2013 | Colegiales 1-0 Chacarita Juniors | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 30, 2013 | Colegiales 1-1 Chacarita Juniors | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Chacarita Juniors vs Colegiales on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colegiales score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chacarita Juniors score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colegiales | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Chacarita Juniors | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colegiales sit 12th in Primera Nacional (31 points from 25 matches) and Chacarita Juniors sit 16th (27 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Colegiales | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 25 | 31 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 26 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors?
- The Footlab model makes Colegiales the favourite at 62%, against 26% for a draw and 12% for Chacarita Juniors.
- Where and when is Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors played?
- Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Colegiales, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026All BoysvsColon Santa Fe
- Sep 19, 2026Atletico MitrevsSan Telmo
- Sep 19, 2026Gimnasia JujuyvsSan Martin Tucuman
- Sep 19, 2026QuilmesvsClub Atlético Güemes
- Sep 19, 2026AlmagrovsNueva Chicago
- Sep 19, 2026Los AndesvsDeportivo Moron
- Sep 19, 2026Defensores De BelgranovsFerro Carril Oeste
- Sep 19, 2026PatronatovsSan Martin S.J.