Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 31Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Aurinegro, Santiago del Estero, Prov. de Santiago del Estero
The Footlab model makes Atletico Mitre the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for San Telmo. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Atletico Mitre (1,710) and San Telmo (1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Mitre have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; San Telmo have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deportivo Madryn(away) | 0-4 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Defensores De Belgrano(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar(away) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Almirante Brown(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deportivo Moron(home) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Quilmes(away) | 0-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atletico Mitre win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 San Telmo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | San Telmo 0-0 Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Atletico Mitre 3-0 San Telmo | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 20, 2025 | San Telmo 0-0 Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional |
| Jun 23, 2024 | San Telmo 0-0 Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Atletico Mitre 1-0 San Telmo | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 10, 2022 | Atletico Mitre 2-1 San Telmo | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: San Telmo vs Atletico Mitre on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Mitre score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; San Telmo score 0.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Mitre | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| San Telmo | 0.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Mitre sit 12th in Primera Nacional (29 points from 26 matches) and San Telmo sit 17th (24 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Atletico Mitre | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 29 |
| 17 | San Telmo | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 29 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico Mitre the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for San Telmo.
- Where and when is Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo played?
- Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Aurinegro, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Sep 19, 2026Gimnasia Y TirovsAtletico DE Rafaela
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