Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 31Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio 23 de Agosto, San Salvador de Jujuy, Provincia de Jujuy
The Footlab model makes Gimnasia Jujuy the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for San Martin Tucuman. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Gimnasia Jujuy (1,803) and San Martin Tucuman (1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnasia Jujuy have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; San Martin Tucuman have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Patronato(away) | 3-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chaco For Ever(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Tristan Suarez(home) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Quilmes(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colegiales(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Madryn(home) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Martin S.J.(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nueva Chicago(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Temperley(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gimnasia Jujuy win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 San Martin Tucuman win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman 2-0 Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Gimnasia Jujuy 2-0 San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional |
| Feb 3, 2024 | San Martin Tucuman 1-0 Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Gimnasia Jujuy 1-1 San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional |
| Nov 10, 2019 | San Martin Tucuman 2-0 Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional |
| Dec 10, 2017 | Gimnasia Jujuy 0-0 San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Jujuy on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnasia Jujuy score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; San Martin Tucuman score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| San Martin Tucuman | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimnasia Jujuy sit 2nd in Primera Nacional (45 points from 26 matches) and San Martin Tucuman sit 10th (35 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 45 |
| 10 | San Martin Tucuman | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman?
- The Footlab model makes Gimnasia Jujuy the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for San Martin Tucuman.
- Where and when is Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman played?
- Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio 23 de Agosto, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 19, 2026AlmagrovsNueva Chicago
- Sep 19, 2026Los AndesvsDeportivo Moron
- Sep 19, 2026Defensores De BelgranovsFerro Carril Oeste
- Sep 19, 2026Gimnasia Y TirovsAtletico DE Rafaela
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