Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 31Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Quilmes the favourite at 70%, against 21% for a draw and 9% for Club Atlético Güemes. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Quilmes starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,650).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quilmes have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Club Atlético Güemes have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Maipu(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Telmo(home) | 3-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Almagro(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Patronato(away) | 3-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletico Mitre(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Agropecuario(away) | 0-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Tristan Suarez(home) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Quilmes win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Club Atlético Güemes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes 2-1 Quilmes | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Quilmes 0-0 Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional |
| May 18, 2025 | Club Atlético Güemes 0-0 Quilmes | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Quilmes 1-0 Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional |
| May 12, 2024 | Club Atlético Güemes 1-0 Quilmes | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 10, 2022 | Quilmes 0-2 Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Club Atlético Güemes vs Quilmes on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Quilmes score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Club Atlético Güemes score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quilmes | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Club Atlético Güemes | 0.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Quilmes sit 10th in Primera Nacional (32 points from 26 matches) and Club Atlético Güemes sit 18th (22 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Quilmes | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 22 | 32 |
| 18 | Club Atlético Güemes | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 43 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes?
- The Footlab model makes Quilmes the favourite at 70%, against 21% for a draw and 9% for Club Atlético Güemes.
- Where and when is Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes played?
- Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026All BoysvsColon Santa Fe
- Sep 19, 2026Atletico MitrevsSan Telmo
- Sep 19, 2026Gimnasia JujuyvsSan Martin Tucuman
- Sep 19, 2026AlmagrovsNueva Chicago
- Sep 19, 2026Los AndesvsDeportivo Moron
- Sep 19, 2026Defensores De BelgranovsFerro Carril Oeste
- Sep 19, 2026Gimnasia Y TirovsAtletico DE Rafaela
- Sep 19, 2026PatronatovsSan Martin S.J.