Colombe vs Stade Malien Bamako: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Annexe 1 Omnisport, Yaoundé
The Footlab model makes Colombe the favourite at 47%, against 31% for a draw and 22% for Stade Malien Bamako. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colombe vs Stade Malien Bamako?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Colombe (1,786) and Stade Malien Bamako (1,859).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colombe have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Stade Malien Bamako have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Aigle Royal(home) | 1-0 | Elite One |
| Jun 14, 2026 | PWD Bamenda(away) | 2-1 | Elite One |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Jeunes Fauves(home) | 7-0 | Elite One |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Canon(away) | 1-0 | Elite One |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Unisport Bafang(home) | 3-1 | Elite One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Diarra(away) | 2-0 | Première Division |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Binga(home) | 2-1 | Première Division |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Bakaridjan(away) | 2-0 | Première Division |
| May 31, 2026 | USFAS Bamako(home) | 2-2 | Première Division |
| May 24, 2026 | Mali Coura(away) | 1-1 | Première Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Colombe score 2.5 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Malien Bamako score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colombe | 2.5 | 0.3 | 10 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Stade Malien Bamako | 1.5 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Malien Bamako | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colombe vs Stade Malien Bamako?
- The Footlab model makes Colombe the favourite at 47%, against 31% for a draw and 22% for Stade Malien Bamako.
- Where and when is Colombe vs Stade Malien Bamako played?
- Colombe vs Stade Malien Bamako is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Annexe 1 Omnisport, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.