Match

Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town: prediction and stats

Welsh CupRound of 32Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Four Crosses Construction Arena, Bae Colwyn, Conwy

Colwyn BayAberystwyth Town

The Footlab AI model makes Colwyn Bay the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for Aberystwyth Town. The most likely score is 3-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,751 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town?

Colwyn Bay is a heavy favourite: 1,918 Elo points against 1,613, a 305-point gap.

76%14%10%
Colwyn Bay winDrawAberystwyth Town win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Colwyn Bay

4-3-3
  1. 11J. Davies
  2. 7J. Kenny
  3. 9A. Davies
  1. 22D. Poole
  2. 8C. Bratley
  3. 16J. Williams
  1. 4N. Peate
  2. 5L. Sirrell
  3. 3S. Hart
  4. 2D. Roberts
  1. 1M. Halstead

Aberystwyth Town

Not enough data to predict the Aberystwyth Town lineup.

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 07:04 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colwyn Bay have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Aberystwyth Town have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Colwyn Bay
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Trefelin(away)2-1Premier League
Oct 30, 2026Cambrian & Clydach(home)2-0Premier League
Oct 23, 2026Cardiff MET(home)2-2Premier League
Oct 17, 2026Buckley Town(away)2-2Welsh Cup
Oct 10, 2026Flint Town United(away)1-0Premier League
Aberystwyth Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Trethomas Bluebirds(home)2-1FAW Championship
Oct 17, 2026Prestatyn Town(home)5-1Welsh Cup
Oct 10, 2026Caerau (Ely)(home)0-1FAW Championship
Oct 3, 2026Pontypridd Town(away)3-1FAW Championship
Sep 25, 2026Swansea University(home)0-0FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Colwyn Bay wins, 0 draws, 3 Aberystwyth Town wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 3, 2024Colwyn Bay 0-2 Aberystwyth TownLeague Cup
Mar 29, 2024Colwyn Bay 1-2 Aberystwyth TownPremier League
Feb 9, 2024Aberystwyth Town 0-1 Colwyn BayPremier League
Jan 5, 2024Aberystwyth Town 1-0 Colwyn BayPremier League
Sep 15, 2023Colwyn Bay 3-1 Aberystwyth TownPremier League

Last archived meeting: Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town on Aug 3, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Colwyn Bay score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Aberystwyth Town score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Colwyn Bay1.71.266/158/15
Aberystwyth Town2.11.149/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town?
The Footlab AI model makes Colwyn Bay the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for Aberystwyth Town.
Where and when is Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town played?
Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Four Crosses Construction Arena, in the Welsh Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Colwyn Bay and Aberystwyth Town

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