Match

Como vs Manchester United: prediction and stats

UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como

ComoManchester United

The Footlab AI model makes Manchester United the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Como. The most likely score is 1-1. If Manchester United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Como vs Manchester United?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Como (2,194) and Manchester United (2,283).

34%25%41%
Como winDrawManchester United win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Como vs Manchester United

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Como

4-2-3-1
  1. 9T. Douvikas
  1. 11Assane Diao
  2. 10N. Paz
  3. 7L. da Cunha
  4. 20M. Baturina
  5. 5M. Perrone
  1. 4Jacobo Ramón Naveros
  2. 27Yan Couto
  3. 99T. Chalobah
  4. 3Álex Valle
  1. 1J. Butez

Manchester United

4-2-3-1
  1. 30B. Šeško
  1. 18Y. Tielemans
  2. 10Matheus Cunha
  3. 8Bruno Fernandes
  4. 19B. Mbeumo
  5. 37K. Mainoo
  1. 6Lisandro Martínez
  2. 5H. Maguire
  3. 15L. Yoro
  4. 23L. Shaw
  1. 1S. Lammens

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 04:11 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Como have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Manchester United have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Como
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026AS Roma(home)0-0Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Frosinone(away)0-2Serie A
Sep 14, 2026Parma(home)2-1Serie A
Sep 10, 2026RB Leipzig(home)4-1UEFA Champions League
Sep 4, 2026Genoa(away)4-1Serie A
Manchester United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Tottenham(home)1-1Premier League
Sep 20, 2026Fulham(away)1-1Premier League
Sep 16, 2026Brighton(home)2-3League Cup
Sep 13, 2026Manchester City(home)0-1Premier League
Sep 10, 2026Sabah FA(home)4-0UEFA Champions League

How many goals should we expect?

Como score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester United score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Como1.80.9410/157/15
Manchester United1.91.339/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Como sit 5th in UEFA Champions League (3 points from 1 match) and Manchester United sit 4th (3 points from 1 match).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Manchester United1100403
5Como1100413

A question about Como vs Manchester United?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Como vs Manchester United?
The Footlab AI model makes Manchester United the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Como.
Where and when is Como vs Manchester United played?
Como vs Manchester United is played on October 21, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, in the UEFA Champions League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Como and Manchester United

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