Conquense vs Castellón: prediction and stats
Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, Cuenca
The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Conquense. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,409 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Conquense vs Castellón?
Castellón starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (2,094 vs 1,961).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Conquense vs Castellón
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Conquense
Not enough data to predict the Conquense lineup.
Castellón
4-4-2- 10Israel Suero
- 16A. Jakobsen
- 8Barri
- 18Pablo Santiago
- 6M. Orozco
- 21Álvaro Martín
- 5Alberto Jiménez
- 4A. Sienra
- 22J. Mellot
- 14Iñigo Córdoba
- 13R. Matthys
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 03:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conquense have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Castellón have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Paso(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Albacete II(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Conquense wins, 0 draws, 1 Castellón win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2018 | Castellón 1-0 Conquense | Copa del Rey |
Last archived meeting: Castellón vs Conquense on Sep 5, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Conquense score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Castellón score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conquense | 1.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Castellón | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Conquense vs Castellón?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Conquense vs Castellón?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Conquense.
- Where and when is Conquense vs Castellón played?
- Conquense vs Castellón is played on October 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, in the Copa del Rey.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.