Internacional vs Vitoria: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Pinheiro Borda, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
The Footlab model makes Internacional the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Vitoria. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Internacional vs Vitoria?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Internacional (1,949) and Vitoria (1,968).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Internacional have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Vitoria have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Remo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Corinthians(away) | 1-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 2-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bahia(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Flamengo(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 4-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Internacional win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Vitoria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Vitoria 2-0 Internacional | Serie A |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Vitoria 1-0 Internacional | Serie A |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Internacional 1-0 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Internacional 3-1 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Vitoria 2-1 Internacional | Serie A |
| Jun 11, 2021 | Internacional 1-3 Vitoria | Copa Do Brasil |
Last archived meeting: Vitoria vs Internacional on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Internacional score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vitoria score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Vitoria | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Internacional sit 16th in Serie A (25 points from 24 matches) and Vitoria sit 12th (29 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Vitoria | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 29 |
| 16 | Internacional | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 28 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Internacional vs Vitoria?
- The Footlab model makes Internacional the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Vitoria.
- Where and when is Internacional vs Vitoria played?
- Internacional vs Vitoria is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Pinheiro Borda, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.