Coruxo vs Compostela: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo do Vao, Vigo
The Footlab model makes Coruxo the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Compostela. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coruxo vs Compostela?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Coruxo (1,897) and Compostela (1,885).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coruxo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Compostela have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Badalona II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Badalona II(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Coruxo win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Compostela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | Coruxo 2-0 Compostela | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Compostela 1-0 Coruxo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Coruxo 0-0 Compostela | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Compostela 1-0 Coruxo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Coruxo 1-0 Compostela | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Compostela 1-1 Coruxo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Coruxo score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Compostela score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coruxo | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Compostela | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Coruxo | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 37 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coruxo vs Compostela?
- The Footlab model makes Coruxo the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Compostela.
- Where and when is Coruxo vs Compostela played?
- Coruxo vs Compostela is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo do Vao, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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