Atlético Astorga vs Ourense CF: result 4-0 and analysis
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Estadio La Eragudina, Astorga
Full time
What was the result of Atlético Astorga vs Ourense CF?
Atlético Astorga won 4-0 on October 10, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 4′Jesús HoyosAtlético Astorga
- 15′628293Atlético Astorga
- 71′628293Atlético Astorga
- 89′Guillem Hernandez CampsAtlético Astorga
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Ourense CF win at 43%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 4-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Astorga have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Ourense CF have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Portugalete(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Amorebieta(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eibar II(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Astorga score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ourense CF score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Astorga | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ourense CF | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Astorga sit 14th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (6 points from 7 matches) and Ourense CF sit 9th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ourense CF | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Atlético Astorga | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Atlético Astorga vs Ourense CF?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Eibar II1-1Basconia
- Oct 10, 2026Amorebieta1-2Portugalete
- Oct 10, 2026Llanera4-2Marino de Luanco
- Oct 10, 2026Sestao River0-0Gimnástica Torrelavega
- Oct 11, 2026Deportivo Alavés II1-1Gernika
- Oct 11, 2026Real Oviedo II2-1Racing Santander II
- Oct 11, 2026Arosa2-2Bergantiños
- Oct 11, 2026Coruxo0-1Compostela