Where and when is Amorebieta vs Portugalete played?

Amorebieta vs Portugalete is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Amorebieta vs Portugalete: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Echano

Amorebieta

Portugalete

The Footlab model makes Amorebieta the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Portugalete. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Amorebieta vs Portugalete?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Amorebieta (1,896) and Portugalete (1,942).

Amorebieta win38 %

Draw28 %

Portugalete win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amorebieta have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Portugalete have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Amorebieta
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Athletic Club II(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Mutilvera(away)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Sestao River(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026	Real Unión(away)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 11, 2026	Gernika(home)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Portugalete
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Barakaldo(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 9, 2026	Deportivo Alavés III(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
May 3, 2026	Aurrerá Vitoria(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 25, 2026	Leioa(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 17, 2026	Eibar III(home)	4-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Amorebieta win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Portugalete win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 30, 2022	Portugalete 0-3 Amorebieta	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 23, 2021	Amorebieta 2-1 Portugalete	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 25, 2020	Portugalete 0-0 Amorebieta	Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Portugalete vs Amorebieta on Dec 30, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Amorebieta score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Portugalete score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Amorebieta	1.2	0.8	8	6/15	5/15
Portugalete	1.8	0.9	7	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Amorebieta vs Portugalete?: The Footlab model makes Amorebieta the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Portugalete.
Where and when is Amorebieta vs Portugalete played?: Amorebieta vs Portugalete is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.