Match

Cove Rangers vs Dumbarton: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Balmoral Stadium, Aberdeen

Cove RangersDumbarton

The Footlab model makes Cove Rangers the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Dumbarton. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cove Rangers vs Dumbarton?

Cove Rangers starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,585 vs 1,449).

Cove Rangers win68 %
Draw17 %
Dumbarton win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cove Rangers have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Dumbarton have 3, 0 and 12.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cove Rangers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Peterhead(home)3-0League One
Aug 15, 2026East Kilbride(away)0-3League One
Aug 11, 2026Stirling Albion(away)2-4Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026East Fife(away)0-2League One
Aug 1, 2026Airdrie United(home)0-0League One
Dumbarton
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kelty Hearts(away)1-3League Two
Aug 15, 2026Edinburgh City(home)0-3League Two
Aug 11, 2026Airdrie United(home)1-3Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Clyde(home)1-0League Two
Aug 1, 2026Stirling Albion(away)0-2League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cove Rangers win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Dumbarton win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 25, 2026Dumbarton 2-0 Cove RangersLeague Cup
Apr 12, 2025Dumbarton 1-3 Cove RangersLeague One
Feb 22, 2025Cove Rangers 2-1 DumbartonLeague One
Nov 2, 2024Dumbarton 0-3 Cove RangersLeague One
Aug 17, 2024Cove Rangers 1-1 DumbartonLeague One
Apr 23, 2022Cove Rangers 1-0 DumbartonLeague One

Last archived meeting: Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers on Jul 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cove Rangers score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dumbarton score 0.9 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cove Rangers1.22.336/1510/15
Dumbarton0.92.726/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cove Rangers vs Dumbarton?
The Footlab model makes Cove Rangers the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Dumbarton.
Where and when is Cove Rangers vs Dumbarton played?
Cove Rangers vs Dumbarton is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Balmoral Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cove Rangers and Dumbarton

Ready to know everything about football?