Crewe vs Accrington ST: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 46Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire
The Footlab AI model makes Crewe the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Accrington ST. The most likely score is 1-1. If Crewe wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crewe vs Accrington ST?
Crewe starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,861 vs 1,753).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crewe vs Accrington ST
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crewe
4-2-3-1- 29A. Thibaut
- 10J. White
- 9J. March
- 11J. Tabiner
- 14J. Gibson
- 19O. Lunt
- 6L. Offord
- 2L. Billington
- 12J. Stephenson
- 4Kyle Ure
- 1T. Booth
Accrington ST
3-1-4-2- 23T. Walton
- 39J. Woods
- 33D. Tutonda
- 38C. O'Brien
- 2D. Love
- 14Stefan Mols
- 10Alex Henderson
- 22J. Anderson
- 17D. Matthews
- 28S. Conneely
- 1L. Moulden
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crewe have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeat; Accrington ST have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Blackpool(away) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(home) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sunderland U21(home) | 3-3 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Crewe wins, 1 draw, 2 Accrington ST wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Crewe 2-1 Accrington ST | League Cup |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Accrington ST 2-0 Crewe | League Two |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Crewe 2-0 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Crewe 0-1 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Accrington ST 0-1 Crewe | League Two |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Accrington ST 0-0 Crewe | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Crewe vs Accrington ST on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crewe score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Accrington ST score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Accrington ST | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crewe sit 3rd in League Two (18 points from 10 matches) and Accrington ST sit 15th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 18 |
| 15 | Accrington ST | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
A question about Crewe vs Accrington ST?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crewe vs Accrington ST?
- The Footlab AI model makes Crewe the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Accrington ST.
- Where and when is Crewe vs Accrington ST played?
- Crewe vs Accrington ST is played on May 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mornflake Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.