Cristo Atlético vs Colegios Diocesanos: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia
The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Colegios Diocesanos. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cristo Atlético vs Colegios Diocesanos?
Cristo Atlético starts as the favourite with a 274-point Elo edge (1,866 vs 1,592).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cristo Atlético have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Colegios Diocesanos have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 17, 2026 | Palencia CF(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 10, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Villaralbo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Mirandés II(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Unionistas II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Cristo Atlético win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Colegios Diocesanos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos 1-2 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Cristo Atlético 3-1 Colegios Diocesanos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Colegios Diocesanos 1-1 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Cristo Atlético 0-0 Colegios Diocesanos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Colegios Diocesanos vs Cristo Atlético on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cristo Atlético score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Colegios Diocesanos score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristo Atlético | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Colegios Diocesanos | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cristo Atlético sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (68 points from 34 matches) and Colegios Diocesanos sit 13th (36 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cristo Atlético | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 68 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 54 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cristo Atlético vs Colegios Diocesanos?
- The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Colegios Diocesanos.
- Where and when is Cristo Atlético vs Colegios Diocesanos played?
- Cristo Atlético vs Colegios Diocesanos is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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