Mirandés II vs La Virgen del Camino: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro
The Footlab model makes Mirandés II the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for La Virgen del Camino. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mirandés II vs La Virgen del Camino?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Mirandés II (1,757) and La Virgen del Camino (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirandés II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; La Virgen del Camino have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bembibre(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mojados(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 1, 2026 | Almazán(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Palencia CF(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Becerril Campos(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mirandés II win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 La Virgen del Camino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Mirandés II 1-1 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | La Virgen del Camino 1-1 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 4, 2025 | Mirandés II 3-1 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 5, 2025 | La Virgen del Camino 1-0 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Mirandés II 2-1 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | La Virgen del Camino 1-1 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Mirandés II vs La Virgen del Camino on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mirandés II score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; La Virgen del Camino score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirandés II | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| La Virgen del Camino | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mirandés II sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (47 points from 34 matches) and La Virgen del Camino sit 9th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mirandés II | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen del Camino | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 37 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mirandés II vs La Virgen del Camino?
- The Footlab model makes Mirandés II the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for La Virgen del Camino.
- Where and when is Mirandés II vs La Virgen del Camino played?
- Mirandés II vs La Virgen del Camino is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2027GuijuelovsUnionistas II
- Mar 7, 2027AlmazánvsUD Santa Marta
- Mar 7, 2027BembibrevsVillaralbo
- Mar 7, 2027Cristo AtléticovsColegios Diocesanos
- Mar 7, 2027Salamanca IIvsBurgos Promesas
- Mar 7, 2027Atlético MansillésvsArandina
- Mar 7, 2027TuréganovsPalencia CF
- Mar 7, 2027Calasanz de SoriavsCultural Leonesa II