Match

Mirandés II vs La Virgen del Camino: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro

Mirandés IILa Virgen del Camino

The Footlab model makes Mirandés II the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for La Virgen del Camino. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mirandés II vs La Virgen del Camino?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Mirandés II (1,757) and La Virgen del Camino (1,712).

Mirandés II win54 %
Draw26 %
La Virgen del Camino win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirandés II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; La Virgen del Camino have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mirandés II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Villaralbo(home)4-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Arandina(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Bembibre(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026Unionistas II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen del Camino
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Mojados(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 1, 2026Almazán(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026Palencia CF(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Becerril Campos(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026Arandina(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mirandés II win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 La Virgen del Camino win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Mirandés II 1-1 La Virgen del CaminoTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 8, 2025La Virgen del Camino 1-1 Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 4, 2025Mirandés II 3-1 La Virgen del CaminoTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Jan 5, 2025La Virgen del Camino 1-0 Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 14, 2024Mirandés II 2-1 La Virgen del CaminoTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 25, 2023La Virgen del Camino 1-1 Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Mirandés II vs La Virgen del Camino on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mirandés II score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; La Virgen del Camino score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mirandés II1.31.5210/158/15
La Virgen del Camino0.91.447/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mirandés II sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (47 points from 34 matches) and La Virgen del Camino sit 9th (44 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Mirandés II3413813433547
9La Virgen del Camino3412814313744

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mirandés II vs La Virgen del Camino?
The Footlab model makes Mirandés II the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for La Virgen del Camino.
Where and when is Mirandés II vs La Virgen del Camino played?
Mirandés II vs La Virgen del Camino is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mirandés II and La Virgen del Camino

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