Almazán vs UD Santa Marta: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, Almazán
The Footlab AI model makes Almazán the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for UD Santa Marta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almazán wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,886 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almazán vs UD Santa Marta?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Almazán (1,773) and UD Santa Marta (1,856).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Almazán vs UD Santa Marta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Almazán
Not enough data to predict the Almazán lineup.
UD Santa Marta
Not enough data to predict the UD Santa Marta lineup.
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 02:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almazán have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; UD Santa Marta have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(away) | 2-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Almazán(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mirandés II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 1-2 | Copa Federacion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Almazán win, 3 draws, 2 UD Santa Marta wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | UD Santa Marta 2-1 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 10, 2026 | Almazán 1-1 UD Santa Marta | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UD Santa Marta 3-2 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Almazán 1-1 UD Santa Marta | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | UD Santa Marta 0-0 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Almazán 1-0 UD Santa Marta | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: UD Santa Marta vs Almazán on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Almazán score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; UD Santa Marta score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almazán | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| UD Santa Marta | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almazán sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (10 points from 8 matches) and UD Santa Marta sit 3rd (17 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | UD Santa Marta | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| 11 | Almazán | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Almazán vs UD Santa Marta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almazán vs UD Santa Marta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almazán the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for UD Santa Marta.
- Where and when is Almazán vs UD Santa Marta played?
- Almazán vs UD Santa Marta is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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