Where and when is Salamanca II vs Burgos Promesas played?

Salamanca II vs Burgos Promesas is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Helmántico, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Salamanca II vs Burgos Promesas: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Helmántico, Salamanca

Salamanca II

Burgos Promesas

The Footlab model makes Salamanca II the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Burgos Promesas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Salamanca II vs Burgos Promesas?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Salamanca II (1,773) and Burgos Promesas (1,818).

Salamanca II win42 %

Draw29 %

Burgos Promesas win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salamanca II have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Burgos Promesas have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Salamanca II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 22, 2023	Real Ávila(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 16, 2023	Unami(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 8, 2023	Ponferradina II(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 2, 2023	Arandina(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 25, 2023	Atlético Astorga(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Burgos Promesas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Salamanca UDS(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 18, 2026	Atlético Astorga(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Coruxo(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	1-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Salamanca II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Burgos Promesas win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 3, 2019	Salamanca II 0-0 Burgos Promesas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Salamanca II vs Burgos Promesas on Nov 3, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Salamanca II score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos Promesas score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Salamanca II	1.3	0.7	7	5/15	7/15
Burgos Promesas	1.0	1.5	5	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Salamanca II vs Burgos Promesas?: The Footlab model makes Salamanca II the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Burgos Promesas.
Where and when is Salamanca II vs Burgos Promesas played?: Salamanca II vs Burgos Promesas is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Helmántico, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.