Turégano vs Palencia CF: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Turégano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Palencia CF wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,471 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Turégano vs Palencia CF?
Palencia CF starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,831 vs 1,722).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Turégano vs Palencia CF
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Turégano
4-3-3- 7Alcubilla
- 10Juan Núñez
- 11Carlos Cotrina
- 5David Aguado
- 14Guillermo Martín Duque
- 20Adri González
- 3David Arranz Sanz
- 2Javier García
- 4Julio Gómez
- 16Marcos San Miguel
- 1Álvaro González
Palencia CF
Not enough data to predict the Palencia CF lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 04:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Turégano have 2 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Palencia CF have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Palencia CF(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Villaralbo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Arandina(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Turégano(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Calasanz de Soria(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Salamanca II(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almazán(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Turégano wins, 1 draw, 0 Palencia CF wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Palencia CF 1-1 Turégano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Palencia CF vs Turégano on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Turégano score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 12; Palencia CF score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turégano | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1 | 8/12 | 6/12 |
| Palencia CF | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Turégano sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (8 points from 9 matches) and Palencia CF sit 6th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Palencia CF | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 13 | Turégano | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Turégano vs Palencia CF?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Turégano vs Palencia CF?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Turégano.
- Where and when is Turégano vs Palencia CF played?
- Turégano vs Palencia CF is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 7, 2027BembibrevsVillaralbo
- Mar 7, 2027Cristo AtléticovsColegios Diocesanos
- Mar 7, 2027Mirandés IIvsLa Virgen del Camino
- Mar 7, 2027Salamanca IIvsBurgos Promesas
- Mar 7, 2027Atlético MansillésvsArandina
- Mar 7, 2027Calasanz de SoriavsCultural Leonesa II