Where and when is Turégano vs Palencia CF played?

Turégano vs Palencia CF is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Turégano vs Palencia CF: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Turégano

Palencia CF

The Footlab model makes Turégano the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Palencia CF. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Turégano vs Palencia CF?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Turégano (1,738) and Palencia CF (1,808).

Turégano win43 %

Draw28 %

Palencia CF win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Turégano have 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Palencia CF have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Turégano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Nov 1, 2023	Celta Vigo(home)	0-4	Copa del Rey
Oct 12, 2023	Santurtzi(home)	3-1	Copa del Rey
Oct 19, 2022	Velarde(away)	0-1	Copa del Rey

Palencia CF
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Guijuelo(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 31, 2026	Guijuelo(home)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 23, 2026	Cristo Atlético(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026	Cristo Atlético(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

How many goals should we expect?

Turégano score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 3; Palencia CF score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Turégano	1.0	2.0	0	1/3	2/3
Palencia CF	1.7	1.5	2	11/15	10/15

Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Palencia CF	34	20	4	10	59	39	64

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Turégano vs Palencia CF?: The Footlab model makes Turégano the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Palencia CF.
Where and when is Turégano vs Palencia CF played?: Turégano vs Palencia CF is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.