Cultural Leonesa vs Real Unión: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 33Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Reino de León, León
The Footlab model makes Real Unión the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Cultural Leonesa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cultural Leonesa vs Real Unión?
Real Unión starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,978 vs 1,840).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cultural Leonesa have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Real Unión have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | PAU(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2026 | Alfaro(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cultural Leonesa win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Real Unión win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | Cultural Leonesa 1-1 Real Unión | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Real Unión 0-1 Cultural Leonesa | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 4, 2024 | Real Unión 0-0 Cultural Leonesa | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Cultural Leonesa 2-0 Real Unión | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Real Unión 1-1 Cultural Leonesa | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Cultural Leonesa 1-1 Real Unión | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Cultural Leonesa vs Real Unión on Mar 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cultural Leonesa score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Real Unión score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cultural Leonesa | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Unión | 2.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cultural Leonesa vs Real Unión?
- The Footlab model makes Real Unión the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Cultural Leonesa.
- Where and when is Cultural Leonesa vs Real Unión played?
- Cultural Leonesa vs Real Unión is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Reino de León, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.