Mirandes vs Lugo: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 33Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro
The Footlab AI model makes Mirandes the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Lugo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mirandes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mirandes vs Lugo?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Mirandes (1,906) and Lugo (1,967).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mirandes vs Lugo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mirandes
4-3-3- 11Aitor Uzkudun
- 9I. Unzueta
- 18Rodri
- 16Markel Lozano
- 19Ricardo de Moraes
- 7D. de la Iglesia
- 22Martín Aguirregabiria
- 21Aritz Arambarri
- 8R. Martinez
- 4C. Navarro
- 1Jesús Ruiz
Lugo
4-3-3- 17Chiqui
- 11M. Dauda
- 16A. Palma
- 20A. Ulloa
- 15P. Parrilla
- 6Kevin Presa
- 5Pol Moreno
- 19R. Lucero
- 4Ibaider Garriz
- 3Pere Haro
- 1Marc Martínez
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirandes have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lugo have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Real Unión(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 4-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Real Avilés(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Zamora(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mirandes wins, 1 draw, 2 Lugo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2023 | Lugo 2-0 Mirandes | Copa del Rey |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Mirandes 2-0 Lugo | Segunda División |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Lugo 0-0 Mirandes | Segunda División |
| Jan 9, 2022 | Lugo 2-1 Mirandes | Segunda División |
| Dec 16, 2021 | Lugo 1-2 Mirandes | Copa del Rey |
| Nov 3, 2021 | Mirandes 3-2 Lugo | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Mirandes score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lugo score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirandes | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Lugo | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mirandes sit 6th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (11 points from 7 matches) and Lugo sit 1st (19 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Mirandes | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 11 |
A question about Mirandes vs Lugo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mirandes vs Lugo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mirandes the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Lugo.
- Where and when is Mirandes vs Lugo played?
- Mirandes vs Lugo is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.