Pontevedra vs Real Avilés: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 33Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra
The Footlab AI model makes Real Avilés the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Pontevedra. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Avilés wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontevedra vs Real Avilés?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Pontevedra (1,975) and Real Avilés (1,918).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pontevedra vs Real Avilés
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pontevedra
4-3-3- 22A. Comparada Gonzalez
- 11Iñaki Elejalde
- 17Alberto Gil
- 10Y. Pino
- 6I. Ivorra
- 14L. Macias
- 16A. Vidorreta
- 5A. Perez
- 20Rui Ferreira
- 15D. Alba
- 1Raúl Marqueta
Real Avilés
4-3-3- 14Berto Cayarga
- 8B. Abelenda
- 19N. Poquet
- 7Cris Montes
- 9Álvaro Santamaría
- 5Samuel
- 20O. Carracedo
- 4Markel Artetxe
- 21Jon Sillero
- 23A. Lopez
- 1Álvaro Ratón
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontevedra have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Real Avilés have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Lugo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Barakaldo(away) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pontevedra wins, 2 draws, 1 Real Avilés win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Real Avilés 0-1 Pontevedra | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Pontevedra 2-2 Real Avilés | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Real Avilés 0-3 Pontevedra | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Real Avilés 1-0 Pontevedra | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Pontevedra 1-1 Real Avilés | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Pontevedra 2-0 Real Avilés | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Real Avilés vs Pontevedra on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pontevedra score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Avilés score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontevedra | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Real Avilés | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontevedra sit 11th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (11 points from 8 matches) and Real Avilés sit 9th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Real Avilés | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 11 |
| 11 | Pontevedra | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
A question about Pontevedra vs Real Avilés?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontevedra vs Real Avilés?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Avilés the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Pontevedra.
- Where and when is Pontevedra vs Real Avilés played?
- Pontevedra vs Real Avilés is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.