Match

Real Unión vs Zamora: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 34Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gal, Irún

Real UniónZamora

The Footlab model makes Real Unión the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Zamora. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Unión vs Zamora?

A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Real Unión (1,974) and Zamora (1,974).

Real Unión win44 %
Draw28 %
Zamora win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Unión have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Zamora have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Unión
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Eibar(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026PAU(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
May 1, 2026Alfaro(home)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Real Zaragoza II(away)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026Amorebieta(home)3-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Zamora
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Real Madrid II(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jun 19, 2026Sabadell(away)0-4Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 13, 2026Sabadell(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 7, 2026Villarreal II(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
May 31, 2026Villarreal II(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Play Offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Real Unión win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Zamora win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 11, 2025Zamora 1-0 Real UniónPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 12, 2025Real Unión 1-2 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 10, 2022Zamora 0-1 Real UniónPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 27, 2021Real Unión 2-0 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Zamora vs Real Unión on May 11, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Real Unión score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Zamora score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Unión2.31.5410/1513/15
Zamora1.41.166/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Zamora38171011534261

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Unión vs Zamora?
The Footlab model makes Real Unión the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Zamora.
Where and when is Real Unión vs Zamora played?
Real Unión vs Zamora is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gal, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Real Unión and Zamora

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