Cultural Leonesa vs Mirandes: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 34Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Reino de León, León
The Footlab model makes Cultural Leonesa the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Mirandes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cultural Leonesa vs Mirandes?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Cultural Leonesa (1,836) and Mirandes (1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cultural Leonesa have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Mirandes have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | La Calzada(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Osasuna II(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Cultural Leonesa win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Mirandes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mirandes 2-1 Cultural Leonesa | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Cultural Leonesa 3-2 Mirandes | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Mirandes vs Cultural Leonesa on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cultural Leonesa score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mirandes score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cultural Leonesa | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Mirandes | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cultural Leonesa vs Mirandes?
- The Footlab model makes Cultural Leonesa the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Mirandes.
- Where and when is Cultural Leonesa vs Mirandes played?
- Cultural Leonesa vs Mirandes is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Reino de León, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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