UD Logroñés vs UD Ourense: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 33Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, Logroño
The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for UD Ourense. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UD Logroñés vs UD Ourense?
UD Logroñés starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (2,072 vs 1,934).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UD Logroñés vs UD Ourense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UD Logroñés
4-3-3- 21Ismael Santana
- 11Marcos Baselga
- 19I. Asenjo
- 14David Navarro
- 20Anai Morales
- 6Mario Maroto
- 3Sergio Camacho
- 5A. Alvarez
- 4Eduardo Cabetas
- 22Carlos García-Die
- 13Fermín Sobrón
UD Ourense
4-3-3- 10David Ferreiro
- 17Xabi Dominguez
- 11Sergi Baldrich
- 14R. Martinez
- 22D. Tejon
- 16Álvaro Bastida
- 4J. Labrada
- 5Varo
- 6N. Gonzalez
- 3Julio Cabrera
- 1Manuel Vizoso
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Logroñés have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; UD Ourense have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 5-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barakaldo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Unión(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 0-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 UD Logroñés win, 0 draws, 0 UD Ourense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | UD Ourense 0-3 UD Logroñés | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: UD Ourense vs UD Logroñés on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UD Logroñés score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; UD Ourense score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD Logroñés | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| UD Ourense | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UD Logroñés sit 2nd in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (16 points from 7 matches) and UD Ourense sit 19th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | UD Logroñés | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 16 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 5 |
A question about UD Logroñés vs UD Ourense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UD Logroñés vs UD Ourense?
- The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for UD Ourense.
- Where and when is UD Logroñés vs UD Ourense played?
- UD Logroñés vs UD Ourense is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.