Cacereño vs Mérida AD: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 33Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Príncipe Felipe, Cáceres
The Footlab AI model makes Cacereño the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Mérida AD. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cacereño vs Mérida AD?
On Elo ratings, Cacereño has 1,929 points and Mérida AD 1,882.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cacereño vs Mérida AD
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cacereño
4-3-3- 18Juan Artola
- 16Sergio Navarro
- 9O. Chit
- 6N. Conesa
- 8Álvaro Gete
- 5Toño Calvo
- 22Adrián Expósito
- 17Sergio López
- 2I. Martinez
- 3Manolo Molina
- 1Diego Nieves
Mérida AD
4-3-3- 21Raúl Beneit
- 19D. Sandoval
- 11S. El Ftouhi
- 6Jota
- 23Geovanny Almeida
- 8Martín Solar
- 2Alejandro Agustín
- 4Gonzalez Nacho
- 16Fito
- 5Hugo Sanz
- 1A. Csenterics
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cacereño have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Mérida AD have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 1-2 | Copa Federacion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pontevedra(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 3-5 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 3-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cacereño wins, 1 draw, 3 Mérida AD wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mérida AD 2-0 Cacereño | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Mérida AD 1-0 Cacereño | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Cacereño 2-1 Mérida AD | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Cacereño 0-0 Mérida AD | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Cacereño 1-2 Mérida AD | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Mérida AD 0-1 Cacereño | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cacereño score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mérida AD score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cacereño | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Mérida AD | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cacereño sit 5th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (12 points from 7 matches) and Mérida AD sit 12th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cacereño | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 12 | Mérida AD | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
A question about Cacereño vs Mérida AD?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cacereño vs Mérida AD?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cacereño the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Mérida AD.
- Where and when is Cacereño vs Mérida AD played?
- Cacereño vs Mérida AD is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Príncipe Felipe, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.