Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Broadwood Stadium, Cumbernauld
The Footlab model makes Cumbernauld Colts the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Kelty Hearts. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Cumbernauld Colts (1,542) and Kelty Hearts (1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cumbernauld Colts have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kelty Hearts have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dalbeattie Star(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gretna 2008(away) | 3-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Renfrew(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dumbarton(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Motherwell U21(home) | 4-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Cumbernauld Colts win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Kelty Hearts win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2020 | Cumbernauld Colts 0-2 Kelty Hearts | Football League - Lowland League |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Kelty Hearts 5-0 Cumbernauld Colts | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts on Nov 25, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Cumbernauld Colts score 2.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kelty Hearts score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumbernauld Colts | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Kelty Hearts | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts?
- The Footlab model makes Cumbernauld Colts the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Kelty Hearts.
- Where and when is Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts played?
- Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Broadwood Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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