Match

Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Broadwood Stadium, Cumbernauld

Cumbernauld ColtsKelty Hearts

The Footlab model makes Cumbernauld Colts the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Kelty Hearts. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Cumbernauld Colts (1,542) and Kelty Hearts (1,528).

Cumbernauld Colts win55 %
Draw21 %
Kelty Hearts win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cumbernauld Colts have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kelty Hearts have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cumbernauld Colts
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dalbeattie Star(home)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 15, 2026Gretna 2008(away)3-3Football League - Lowland League
Aug 11, 2026Queen of the South(away)0-4Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Auchinleck Talbot(away)0-1Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Renfrew(home)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Kelty Hearts
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dumbarton(home)3-1League Two
Aug 15, 2026Elgin City(away)1-4League Two
Aug 11, 2026Motherwell U21(home)4-3Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Stirling Albion(home)3-2League Two
Aug 1, 2026Forfar Athletic(away)0-1League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Cumbernauld Colts win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Kelty Hearts win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 25, 2020Cumbernauld Colts 0-2 Kelty HeartsFootball League - Lowland League
Nov 21, 2020Kelty Hearts 5-0 Cumbernauld ColtsFootball League - Lowland League

Last archived meeting: Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts on Nov 25, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Cumbernauld Colts score 2.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kelty Hearts score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cumbernauld Colts2.22.1111/1513/15
Kelty Hearts1.22.117/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts?
The Footlab model makes Cumbernauld Colts the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Kelty Hearts.
Where and when is Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts played?
Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Broadwood Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cumbernauld Colts and Kelty Hearts

Ready to know everything about football?