Dainava vs Žalgiris II: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Marijampolės futbolo arenos maniežas, Marijampolė
The Footlab model makes Dainava the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Žalgiris II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dainava vs Žalgiris II?
Dainava starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,484 vs 1,324).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dainava have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Žalgiris II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atmosfera(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | BFA(home) | 0-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tauras(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Transinvest 2(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(away) | 4-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ekranas(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Minija(home) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Hegelmann II(away) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dainava win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Žalgiris II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Žalgiris II 0-0 Dainava | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 17, 2022 | Žalgiris II 3-2 Dainava | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 10, 2022 | Dainava 2-2 Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 14, 2020 | Žalgiris II 0-3 Dainava | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 3, 2019 | Žalgiris II 1-2 Dainava | 1 Lyga |
| May 16, 2019 | Dainava 0-1 Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Žalgiris II vs Dainava on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dainava score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Žalgiris II score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dainava | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Žalgiris II | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dainava sit 6th in 1 Lyga (36 points from 20 matches) and Žalgiris II sit 8th (31 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dainava | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 33 | 19 | 36 |
| 8 | Žalgiris II | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dainava vs Žalgiris II?
- The Footlab model makes Dainava the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Žalgiris II.
- Where and when is Dainava vs Žalgiris II played?
- Dainava vs Žalgiris II is played on August 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Marijampolės futbolo arenos maniežas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.