Kauno Žalgiris II vs Hegelmann II: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)VDU Valdo Adamkaus stadionas, Ringaudai
The Footlab model makes Kauno Žalgiris II the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Hegelmann II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris II vs Hegelmann II?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Kauno Žalgiris II (1,174) and Hegelmann II (1,197).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kauno Žalgiris II have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Hegelmann II have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jonava(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Žalgiris II(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atmosfera(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tauras(away) | 2-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ekranas(home) | 3-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Be1 NFA(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Garliava(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Minija(home) | 0-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atmosfera(away) | 1-4 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Kauno Žalgiris II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hegelmann II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Hegelmann II 2-0 Kauno Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Hegelmann II 1-5 Kauno Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris II 2-0 Hegelmann II | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Kauno Žalgiris II 0-2 Hegelmann II | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Hegelmann II 0-3 Kauno Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Hegelmann II vs Kauno Žalgiris II on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kauno Žalgiris II score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hegelmann II score 1.2 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauno Žalgiris II | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Hegelmann II | 1.2 | 2.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kauno Žalgiris II sit 15th in 1 Lyga (13 points from 20 matches) and Hegelmann II sit 12th (19 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hegelmann II | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | 19 |
| 15 | Kauno Žalgiris II | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 34 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kauno Žalgiris II vs Hegelmann II?
- The Footlab model makes Kauno Žalgiris II the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Hegelmann II.
- Where and when is Kauno Žalgiris II vs Hegelmann II played?
- Kauno Žalgiris II vs Hegelmann II is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at VDU Valdo Adamkaus stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.