Ekranas vs Be1 NFA: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Žemynos progimnazijos stadionas, Panevėžys
The Footlab model makes Be1 NFA the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Ekranas. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ekranas vs Be1 NFA?
Be1 NFA starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,382 vs 1,176).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ekranas have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Be1 NFA have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hegelmann II(away) | 2-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Minija(home) | 0-5 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jonava(away) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Žalgiris II(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Babrungas(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Garliava(home) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hegelmann II(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Minija(away) | 0-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jonava(home) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | BFA(away) | 1-3 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ekranas win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Be1 NFA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Be1 NFA 2-1 Ekranas | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Ekranas 1-3 Be1 NFA | 1 Lyga |
| May 16, 2025 | Be1 NFA 0-1 Ekranas | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Be1 NFA 1-1 Ekranas | 1 Lyga |
| May 7, 2024 | Be1 NFA 0-1 Ekranas | Cup |
| May 4, 2024 | Ekranas 2-1 Be1 NFA | 1 Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ekranas score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Be1 NFA score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekranas | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Be1 NFA | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ekranas sit 16th in 1 Lyga (11 points from 21 matches) and Be1 NFA sit 4th (38 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Be1 NFA | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 38 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 21 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 21 | 45 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ekranas vs Be1 NFA?
- The Footlab model makes Be1 NFA the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Ekranas.
- Where and when is Ekranas vs Be1 NFA played?
- Ekranas vs Be1 NFA is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Žemynos progimnazijos stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.