Neptūną Klaipėda vs Atmosfera: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Klaipėdos centrinio stadiono atsarginė aikštė, Klaipėda
The Footlab model makes Neptūną Klaipėda the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Atmosfera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Neptūną Klaipėda vs Atmosfera?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Neptūną Klaipėda (1,462) and Atmosfera (1,365).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neptūną Klaipėda have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Atmosfera have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BFA(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 0-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tauras(away) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Garliava(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dainava(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Transinvest 2(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(away) | 1-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hegelmann II(home) | 4-1 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Neptūną Klaipėda win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Atmosfera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Atmosfera 1-3 Neptūną Klaipėda | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Atmosfera 4-2 Neptūną Klaipėda | 1 Lyga |
| May 23, 2025 | Neptūną Klaipėda 1-0 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Atmosfera 1-0 Neptūną Klaipėda | 1 Lyga |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Neptūną Klaipėda 2-0 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Neptūną Klaipėda 4-2 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Atmosfera vs Neptūną Klaipėda on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Neptūną Klaipėda score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Atmosfera score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neptūną Klaipėda | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Atmosfera | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neptūną Klaipėda sit 5th in 1 Lyga (38 points from 21 matches) and Atmosfera sit 9th (26 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Neptūną Klaipėda | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 38 |
| 9 | Atmosfera | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Neptūną Klaipėda vs Atmosfera?
- The Footlab model makes Neptūną Klaipėda the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Atmosfera.
- Where and when is Neptūną Klaipėda vs Atmosfera played?
- Neptūną Klaipėda vs Atmosfera is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Klaipėdos centrinio stadiono atsarginė aikštė, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.