Tauras vs BFA: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)FK Tauras dirbtinės dangos stadionas, Tauragė
The Footlab model makes Tauras the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for BFA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tauras vs BFA?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Tauras (1,474) and BFA (1,409).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tauras have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; BFA have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Babrungas(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Garliava(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(home) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dainava(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(home) | 4-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(home) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dainava(away) | 0-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Transinvest 2(home) | 4-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(away) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Be1 NFA(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Tauras win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 BFA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | BFA 3-1 Tauras | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Tauras 2-3 BFA | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 18, 2025 | BFA 2-2 Tauras | 1 Lyga |
| Nov 8, 2024 | BFA 0-1 Tauras | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Tauras 4-0 BFA | 1 Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
Tauras score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; BFA score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tauras | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| BFA | 1.6 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tauras sit 3rd in 1 Lyga (39 points from 21 matches) and BFA sit 7th (35 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tauras | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 23 | 39 |
| 7 | BFA | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 29 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tauras vs BFA?
- The Footlab model makes Tauras the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for BFA.
- Where and when is Tauras vs BFA played?
- Tauras vs BFA is played on August 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at FK Tauras dirbtinės dangos stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.