FA Šiauliai II vs Minija: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Šiaulių Gytarių stadionas, Šiauliai
The Footlab model makes Minija the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for FA Šiauliai II. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FA Šiauliai II vs Minija?
Minija starts as the favourite with a 299-point Elo edge (1,495 vs 1,195).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FA Šiauliai II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Minija have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Jonava(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Žalgiris II(home) | 1-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atmosfera(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | BFA(home) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ekranas(away) | 5-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Be1 NFA(home) | 3-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hegelmann II(away) | 4-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Žalgiris II(away) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Jonava(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FA Šiauliai II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Minija win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Minija 3-1 FA Šiauliai II | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Minija 0-2 FA Šiauliai II | 1 Lyga |
| May 30, 2025 | FA Šiauliai II 4-0 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Minija 0-2 FA Šiauliai II | 1 Lyga |
| Mar 16, 2024 | FA Šiauliai II 0-1 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Minija 2-1 FA Šiauliai II | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Minija vs FA Šiauliai II on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FA Šiauliai II score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Minija score 2.2 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FA Šiauliai II | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Minija | 2.2 | 0.5 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FA Šiauliai II sit 14th in 1 Lyga (14 points from 21 matches) and Minija sit 1st (52 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minija | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 53 | 11 | 52 |
| 14 | FA Šiauliai II | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 45 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FA Šiauliai II vs Minija?
- The Footlab model makes Minija the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for FA Šiauliai II.
- Where and when is FA Šiauliai II vs Minija played?
- FA Šiauliai II vs Minija is played on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Šiaulių Gytarių stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.