Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Jinzhou Stadium, Dalian
The Footlab model makes Dalian Zhixing the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Sichuan Jiuniu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Dalian Zhixing (1,550) and Sichuan Jiuniu (1,504).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dalian Zhixing have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Sichuan Jiuniu have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun(away) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Henan Jianye(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hangzhou Greentown(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(away) | 0-4 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun(away) | 3-4 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Dalian Zhixing win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Sichuan Jiuniu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Sichuan Jiuniu 1-1 Dalian Zhixing | Super League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Dalian Zhixing 2-1 Sichuan Jiuniu | Super League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Sichuan Jiuniu 1-1 Dalian Zhixing | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Dalian Zhixing on May 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dalian Zhixing score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sichuan Jiuniu score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalian Zhixing | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
| Sichuan Jiuniu | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dalian Zhixing sit 3rd in Super League (22 points from 15 matches) and Sichuan Jiuniu sit 9th (17 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dalian Zhixing | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 22 |
| 4 | Dalian Zhixing | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 36 |
| 9 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 17 |
| 10 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 43 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
- The Footlab model makes Dalian Zhixing the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Sichuan Jiuniu.
- Where and when is Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu played?
- Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Jinzhou Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 17, 2026Qingdao JonoonvsShenyang Urban
- Oct 17, 2026Yunnan YukunvsChongqing Tongliang Long
- Oct 17, 2026Shandong LunengvsHangzhou Greentown
- Oct 18, 2026Wuhan Three TownsvsShanghai Shenhua
- Oct 18, 2026Beijing GuoanvsQingdao Youth Island
- Oct 18, 2026SHANGHAI SIPGvsChengdu Better City