Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC)Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou
The Footlab model makes Henan Jianye the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Tianjin Teda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Henan Jianye (1,586) and Tianjin Teda (1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Henan Jianye have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Tianjin Teda have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(away) | 4-4 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(away) | 1-4 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Qingdao Youth Island(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(home) | 2-4 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(away) | 2-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Henan Jianye win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Tianjin Teda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Tianjin Teda 1-2 Henan Jianye | Super League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Tianjin Teda 1-0 Henan Jianye | Super League |
| May 5, 2025 | Henan Jianye 3-4 Tianjin Teda | Super League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Tianjin Teda 1-0 Henan Jianye | Super League |
| May 4, 2024 | Henan Jianye 1-2 Tianjin Teda | Super League |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Henan Jianye 1-0 Tianjin Teda | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye on May 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Henan Jianye score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tianjin Teda score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henan Jianye | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Tianjin Teda | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Henan Jianye sit 11th in Super League (15 points from 15 matches) and Tianjin Teda sit 16th (5 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Henan Jianye | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 15 |
| 13 | Henan Jianye | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 33 | 24 |
| 14 | Tianjin Teda | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 18 |
| 16 | Tianjin Teda | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 21 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda?
- The Footlab model makes Henan Jianye the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Tianjin Teda.
- Where and when is Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda played?
- Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda is played on October 16, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC) at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Dalian ZhixingvsSichuan Jiuniu
- Oct 17, 2026Qingdao JonoonvsShenyang Urban
- Oct 17, 2026Yunnan YukunvsChongqing Tongliang Long
- Oct 17, 2026Shandong LunengvsHangzhou Greentown
- Oct 18, 2026Wuhan Three TownsvsShanghai Shenhua
- Oct 18, 2026Beijing GuoanvsQingdao Youth Island
- Oct 18, 2026SHANGHAI SIPGvsChengdu Better City