Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC)Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, Qingdao
The Footlab model makes Qingdao Jonoon the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Shenyang Urban. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Qingdao Jonoon (1,460) and Shenyang Urban (1,529).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qingdao Jonoon have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Shenyang Urban have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(away) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Qingdao Youth Island(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tianjin Teda(home) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Henan Jianye(home) | 4-4 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sichuan Jiuniu(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Qingdao Youth Island(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Qingdao Jonoon win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Shenyang Urban win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Shenyang Urban 2-1 Qingdao Jonoon | Super League |
| May 21, 2025 | Shenyang Urban 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon | FA Cup |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Qingdao Jonoon 2-0 Shenyang Urban | League One |
| Nov 9, 2022 | Shenyang Urban 0-3 Qingdao Jonoon | League One |
Last archived meeting: Shenyang Urban vs Qingdao Jonoon on May 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Qingdao Jonoon score 1.2 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Shenyang Urban score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qingdao Jonoon | 1.2 | 2.5 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Shenyang Urban | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qingdao Jonoon sit 14th in Super League (10 points from 15 matches) and Shenyang Urban sit 8th (17 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shenyang Urban | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 23 | 17 |
| 12 | Shenyang Urban | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 39 | 25 |
| 14 | Qingdao Jonoon | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 10 |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 46 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban?
- The Footlab model makes Qingdao Jonoon the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Shenyang Urban.
- Where and when is Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban played?
- Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC) at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 16, 2026Henan JianyevsTianjin Teda
- Oct 17, 2026Dalian ZhixingvsSichuan Jiuniu
- Oct 17, 2026Yunnan YukunvsChongqing Tongliang Long
- Oct 17, 2026Shandong LunengvsHangzhou Greentown
- Oct 18, 2026Wuhan Three TownsvsShanghai Shenhua
- Oct 18, 2026Beijing GuoanvsQingdao Youth Island
- Oct 18, 2026SHANGHAI SIPGvsChengdu Better City