SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Yuanshen Sports Centre Stadium, Shanghai
The Footlab model makes Chengdu Better City the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for SHANGHAI SIPG. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate SHANGHAI SIPG (1,680) and Chengdu Better City (1,742).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SHANGHAI SIPG have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Chengdu Better City have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns(away) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(away) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(home) | 4-5 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hangzhou Greentown(away) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SHANGHAI SIPG win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Chengdu Better City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Chengdu Better City 0-1 SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Chengdu Better City 4-1 SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | SHANGHAI SIPG 1-3 Chengdu Better City | Super League |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Chengdu Better City 3-1 SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League |
| May 22, 2024 | SHANGHAI SIPG 2-0 Chengdu Better City | Super League |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Chengdu Better City 2-1 SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Chengdu Better City vs SHANGHAI SIPG on May 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SHANGHAI SIPG score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chengdu Better City score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHANGHAI SIPG | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Chengdu Better City | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SHANGHAI SIPG sit 13th in Super League (12 points from 15 matches) and Chengdu Better City sit 1st (37 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 13 | 37 |
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 48 |
| 8 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 39 | 33 | 29 |
| 13 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City?
- The Footlab model makes Chengdu Better City the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for SHANGHAI SIPG.
- Where and when is SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City played?
- SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Yuanshen Sports Centre Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 16, 2026Henan JianyevsTianjin Teda
- Oct 17, 2026Dalian ZhixingvsSichuan Jiuniu
- Oct 17, 2026Qingdao JonoonvsShenyang Urban
- Oct 17, 2026Yunnan YukunvsChongqing Tongliang Long
- Oct 17, 2026Shandong LunengvsHangzhou Greentown
- Oct 18, 2026Wuhan Three TownsvsShanghai Shenhua
- Oct 18, 2026Beijing GuoanvsQingdao Youth Island