Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Wuhan Sports Center Stadium, Wuhan
The Footlab model makes Shanghai Shenhua the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Wuhan Three Towns. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Shanghai Shenhua starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (1,704 vs 1,471).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wuhan Three Towns have 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats; Shanghai Shenhua have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tianjin Teda(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(home) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(away) | 5-4 | Super League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(home) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Henan Jianye(home) | 4-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(away) | 1-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wuhan Three Towns win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Shanghai Shenhua win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua 2-2 Wuhan Three Towns | Super League |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 Shanghai Shenhua | Super League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 Wuhan Three Towns | Super League |
| Jul 29, 2024 | Wuhan Three Towns 0-2 Shanghai Shenhua | Super League |
| Apr 9, 2024 | Shanghai Shenhua 4-1 Wuhan Three Towns | Super League |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Wuhan Three Towns 1-2 Shanghai Shenhua | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Shanghai Shenhua vs Wuhan Three Towns on May 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wuhan Three Towns score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Shanghai Shenhua score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuhan Three Towns | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wuhan Three Towns sit 15th in Super League (8 points from 15 matches) and Shanghai Shenhua sit 12th (13 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shanghai Shenhua | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 28 |
| 12 | Shanghai Shenhua | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 24 | 13 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 8 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua?
- The Footlab model makes Shanghai Shenhua the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Wuhan Three Towns.
- Where and when is Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua played?
- Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua is played on October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Wuhan Sports Center Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 16, 2026Henan JianyevsTianjin Teda
- Oct 17, 2026Dalian ZhixingvsSichuan Jiuniu
- Oct 17, 2026Qingdao JonoonvsShenyang Urban
- Oct 17, 2026Yunnan YukunvsChongqing Tongliang Long
- Oct 17, 2026Shandong LunengvsHangzhou Greentown
- Oct 18, 2026Beijing GuoanvsQingdao Youth Island
- Oct 18, 2026SHANGHAI SIPGvsChengdu Better City