Darlington 1883 vs Bedford Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Blackwell Meadows, Darlington, Durham
The Footlab model makes Darlington 1883 the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Bedford Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Darlington 1883 vs Bedford Town?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Darlington 1883 (1,781) and Bedford Town (1,767).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Darlington 1883 have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Bedford Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 2-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chester(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 3-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Southport(away) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 2-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Darlington 1883 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Bedford Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bedford Town 2-3 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Darlington 1883 2-0 Bedford Town | National League - North |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Bedford Town 3-4 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Bedford Town vs Darlington 1883 on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Darlington 1883 score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bedford Town score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darlington 1883 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Bedford Town | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Darlington 1883 sit 19th in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and Bedford Town sit 20th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Darlington 1883 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| 20 | Bedford Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Darlington 1883 vs Bedford Town?
- The Footlab model makes Darlington 1883 the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Bedford Town.
- Where and when is Darlington 1883 vs Bedford Town played?
- Darlington 1883 vs Bedford Town is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Blackwell Meadows, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.