Defensores De Belgrano vs San Miguel: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Pasquale, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Defensores De Belgrano the favourite at 40%, against 33% for a draw and 27% for San Miguel. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Defensores De Belgrano vs San Miguel?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Defensores De Belgrano (1,712) and San Miguel (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Defensores De Belgrano have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; San Miguel have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Almirante Brown(home) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atletico Mitre(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | All Boys(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Colegiales(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | San Telmo(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Acassuso(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Defensores De Belgrano win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 San Miguel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | San Miguel 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 6, 2018 | San Miguel 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Nov 18, 2017 | Defensores De Belgrano 3-0 San Miguel | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: San Miguel vs Defensores De Belgrano on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Defensores De Belgrano score 0.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; San Miguel score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensores De Belgrano | 0.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| San Miguel | 0.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Defensores De Belgrano sit 15th in Primera Nacional (26 points from 25 matches) and San Miguel sit 11th (29 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | San Miguel | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Defensores De Belgrano | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 23 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Defensores De Belgrano vs San Miguel?
- The Footlab model makes Defensores De Belgrano the favourite at 40%, against 33% for a draw and 27% for San Miguel.
- Where and when is Defensores De Belgrano vs San Miguel played?
- Defensores De Belgrano vs San Miguel is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Pasquale, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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