Delfin SC vs Universidad Catolica: prediction and stats
Liga ProRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jocay, Manta
The Footlab model makes Universidad Catolica the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Delfin SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Delfin SC vs Universidad Catolica?
Universidad Catolica starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (1,829 vs 1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Delfin SC have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Universidad Catolica have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Aucas(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Cde Juventud Italiana(away) | 1-0 | Copa Ecuador |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(away) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Orense SC(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 4, 2026 | LDU de Quito(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Manta FC(home) | 5-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Macara(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Libertad(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 5-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Delfin SC win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Universidad Catolica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Universidad Catolica 2-2 Delfin SC | Liga Pro |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Universidad Catolica 1-1 Delfin SC | Liga Pro |
| May 18, 2025 | Delfin SC 1-0 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Universidad Catolica 2-1 Delfin SC | Liga Pro |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Delfin SC 0-2 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Universidad Catolica 2-2 Delfin SC | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Universidad Catolica vs Delfin SC on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Delfin SC score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Universidad Catolica score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfin SC | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Universidad Catolica | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Delfin SC sit 15th in Liga Pro (24 points from 26 matches) and Universidad Catolica sit 3rd (43 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 23 | 43 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 28 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Delfin SC vs Universidad Catolica?
- The Footlab model makes Universidad Catolica the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Delfin SC.
- Where and when is Delfin SC vs Universidad Catolica played?
- Delfin SC vs Universidad Catolica is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jocay, in the Liga Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.