Tecnico Universitario vs LDU de Quito: prediction and stats
Liga ProRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bellavista de Ambato, Ambato
The Footlab model makes LDU de Quito the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Tecnico Universitario. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tecnico Universitario vs LDU de Quito?
LDU de Quito starts as the favourite with a 275-point Elo edge (1,871 vs 1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tecnico Universitario have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; LDU de Quito have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC(home) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Emelec(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 0-3 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 0-5 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Manta FC(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Emelec(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Mirassol(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Aucas(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Tecnico Universitario win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 LDU de Quito win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | LDU de Quito 2-1 Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Tecnico Universitario 1-3 LDU de Quito | Liga Pro |
| May 31, 2025 | LDU de Quito 3-2 Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Tecnico Universitario 1-2 LDU de Quito | Liga Pro |
| Apr 27, 2024 | LDU de Quito 1-0 Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro |
| Nov 9, 2023 | Tecnico Universitario 0-2 LDU de Quito | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: LDU de Quito vs Tecnico Universitario on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tecnico Universitario score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; LDU de Quito score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tecnico Universitario | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| LDU de Quito | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tecnico Universitario sit 14th in Liga Pro (26 points from 26 matches) and LDU de Quito sit 5th (41 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 20 | 41 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 23 | 37 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tecnico Universitario vs LDU de Quito?
- The Footlab model makes LDU de Quito the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Tecnico Universitario.
- Where and when is Tecnico Universitario vs LDU de Quito played?
- Tecnico Universitario vs LDU de Quito is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bellavista de Ambato, in the Liga Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.