Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad: prediction and stats
Liga ProRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar Banco del Austro, Cuenca
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cuenca the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Libertad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Deportivo Cuenca (1,686) and Libertad (1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Cuenca have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Libertad have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Orense SC(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Manta FC(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Emelec(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC(away) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Orense SC(home) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Delfin SC(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deportivo Cuenca win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Libertad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Libertad 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca 3-0 Libertad | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Libertad 2-1 Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Deportivo Cuenca 0-1 Libertad | Liga Pro |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Libertad | Liga Pro |
| May 28, 2024 | Libertad 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Cuenca score 0.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Libertad score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cuenca | 0.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Libertad | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Cuenca sit 11th in Liga Pro (32 points from 26 matches) and Libertad sit 8th (34 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Libertad | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportivo Cuenca | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 32 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cuenca the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Libertad.
- Where and when is Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad played?
- Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar Banco del Austro, in the Liga Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.