Orense SC vs Guayaquil City FC: prediction and stats
Liga ProRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala
The Footlab model makes Orense SC the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Guayaquil City FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orense SC vs Guayaquil City FC?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Orense SC (1,685) and Guayaquil City FC (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orense SC have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Guayaquil City FC have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Barcelona SC(away) | 0-3 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Delfin SC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Libertad(away) | 0-3 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario(away) | 3-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Libertad(home) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Emelec(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Macara(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Orense SC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Guayaquil City FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC 0-1 Orense SC | Liga Pro |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Guayaquil City FC 1-0 Orense SC | Liga Pro |
| Apr 3, 2023 | Orense SC 3-2 Guayaquil City FC | Liga Pro |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Guayaquil City FC 1-1 Orense SC | Liga Pro |
| May 28, 2022 | Orense SC 0-1 Guayaquil City FC | Liga Pro |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Orense SC 2-0 Guayaquil City FC | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Guayaquil City FC vs Orense SC on May 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Orense SC score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Guayaquil City FC score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orense SC | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Guayaquil City FC | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orense SC sit 12th in Liga Pro (30 points from 26 matches) and Guayaquil City FC sit 10th (33 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Guayaquil City FC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 29 | 33 |
| 12 | Orense SC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 39 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orense SC vs Guayaquil City FC?
- The Footlab model makes Orense SC the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Guayaquil City FC.
- Where and when is Orense SC vs Guayaquil City FC played?
- Orense SC vs Guayaquil City FC is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio 9 de Mayo, in the Liga Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.