Denmark vs Norway: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League6Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Nature Energy Park, Odense
The Footlab AI model makes Denmark the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Norway. The most likely score is 1-1. If Denmark wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Denmark vs Norway?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Denmark (1,712) and Norway (1,726).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Denmark vs Norway
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Denmark
4-2-3-1- 9R. Højlund
- 23P. Højbjerg
- 21M. Hjulmand
- 20M. Daramy
- 14M. Damsgaard
- 8G. Isaksen
- 5J. Mæhle
- 2J. Andersen
- 13R. Kristensen
- 3O. Provstgaard
- 16M. Hermansen
Norway
4-3-3- 9E. Haaland
- 21A. Schjelderup
- 20A. Nusa
- 8S. Berge
- 10M. Ødegaard
- 6P. Berg
- 3K. Ajer
- 7F. Aursnes
- 5D. Møller Wolfe
- 17T. Heggem
- 1Ø. Nyland
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Denmark have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Norway have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Wales(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Portugal(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Wales(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Norway(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Ukraine(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Portugal(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Wales(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Portugal(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Denmark(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | England(home) | 1-2 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Denmark win, 0 draws, 1 Norway win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Norway 3-2 Denmark | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Denmark 3-1 Norway | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Denmark score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Norway score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denmark | 2.3 | 1.1 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Norway | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Denmark sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League (6 points from 4 matches) and Norway sit 4th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
A question about Denmark vs Norway?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Denmark vs Norway?
- The Footlab AI model makes Denmark the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Norway.
- Where and when is Denmark vs Norway played?
- Denmark vs Norway is played on November 17, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Nature Energy Park, in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.