Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 34Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de Abegondo, La Coruña
The Footlab model makes Deportivo La Coruña II the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for UD Ourense. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Deportivo La Coruña II (2,038) and UD Ourense (1,980).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo La Coruña II have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; UD Ourense have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Pontevedra(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Reddis(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Reddis(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Deportivo La Coruña II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 UD Ourense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II 3-0 UD Ourense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | UD Ourense 2-1 Deportivo La Coruña II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Deportivo La Coruña II 1-1 UD Ourense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 8, 2022 | UD Ourense 2-2 Deportivo La Coruña II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Deportivo La Coruña II 3-1 UD Ourense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo La Coruña II score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; UD Ourense score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña II | 1.8 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| UD Ourense | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo La Coruña II the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for UD Ourense.
- Where and when is Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense played?
- Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Abegondo, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.