Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 34Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Gobela, Getxo
The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Arenas Getxo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés?
UD Logroñés starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (2,043 vs 1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Getxo have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; UD Logroñés have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Huesca II(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Huesca(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arenas Getxo win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 UD Logroñés win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Arenas Getxo 1-0 UD Logroñés | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 17, 2024 | UD Logroñés 0-0 Arenas Getxo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Arenas Getxo 2-1 UD Logroñés | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | UD Logroñés 5-1 Arenas Getxo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Arenas Getxo 1-2 UD Logroñés | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 12, 2019 | UD Logroñés 4-0 Arenas Getxo | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés on Mar 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Arenas Getxo score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; UD Logroñés score 2.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arenas Getxo | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| UD Logroñés | 2.0 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46 | 55 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés?
- The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Arenas Getxo.
- Where and when is Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés played?
- Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Gobela, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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