Match

Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 34Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Gobela, Getxo

Arenas GetxoUD Logroñés

The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Arenas Getxo. The most likely score is 1-1. If UD Logroñés wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés?

UD Logroñés starts as the favourite with a 231-point Elo edge (2,069 vs 1,838).

20%25%55%
Arenas Getxo winDrawUD Logroñés win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arenas Getxo

4-3-3
  1. 9José Luis Cortés
  2. 23Álex Oyón
  3. 10Martin Pedroarena
  1. 16Gael Akogo Esono
  2. 6I. Garcia
  3. 21I. Telletxea
  1. 18Rubi
  2. 3A. Lekuna
  3. 5J. Zubelzu
  4. 2J. Larrauri
  1. 1Manuel Obón

UD Logroñés

4-3-3
  1. 21Ismael Santana
  2. 11Marcos Baselga
  3. 19I. Asenjo
  1. 14David Navarro
  2. 20Anai Morales
  3. 6Mario Maroto
  1. 3Sergio Camacho
  2. 5A. Alvarez
  3. 4Eduardo Cabetas
  4. 22Carlos García-Die
  1. 13Fermín Sobrón

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:17 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Getxo have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; UD Logroñés have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arenas Getxo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)1-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Barakaldo(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Athletic Club II(home)0-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Cacereño(away)0-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Zamora(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
UD Logroñés
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026Lugo(away)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Mérida AD(away)5-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 18, 2026Pontevedra(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2026UD Ourense(away)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arenas Getxo wins, 1 draw, 3 UD Logroñés wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 29, 2025Arenas Getxo 1-0 UD LogroñésSegunda División RFEF - Group 2
Nov 17, 2024UD Logroñés 0-0 Arenas GetxoSegunda División RFEF - Group 2
Mar 9, 2024Arenas Getxo 2-1 UD LogroñésSegunda División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 29, 2023UD Logroñés 5-1 Arenas GetxoSegunda División RFEF - Group 2
Feb 29, 2020Arenas Getxo 1-2 UD LogroñésPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 12, 2019UD Logroñés 4-0 Arenas GetxoPrimera División RFEF - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés on Mar 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Arenas Getxo score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; UD Logroñés score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arenas Getxo0.92.128/158/15
UD Logroñés2.10.969/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arenas Getxo sit 20th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (2 points from 7 matches) and UD Logroñés sit 2nd (16 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2UD Logroñés7511161016
20Arenas Getxo70255182

A question about Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés?
The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Arenas Getxo.
Where and when is Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés played?
Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Gobela, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Arenas Getxo and UD Logroñés

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