Match

Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 34Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Gobela, Getxo

Arenas GetxoUD Logroñés

The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Arenas Getxo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés?

UD Logroñés starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (2,043 vs 1,900).

Arenas Getxo win30 %
Draw29 %
UD Logroñés win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Getxo have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; UD Logroñés have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arenas Getxo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Laredo(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Eibar(away)0-5Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Zamora(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Real Madrid II(away)3-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 8, 2026Racing Ferrol(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
UD Logroñés
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Huesca II(home)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 21, 2026Mirandes(home)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026Zaragoza(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026Huesca(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026SS Reyes(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arenas Getxo win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 UD Logroñés win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 29, 2025Arenas Getxo 1-0 UD LogroñésSegunda División RFEF - Group 2
Nov 17, 2024UD Logroñés 0-0 Arenas GetxoSegunda División RFEF - Group 2
Mar 9, 2024Arenas Getxo 2-1 UD LogroñésSegunda División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 29, 2023UD Logroñés 5-1 Arenas GetxoSegunda División RFEF - Group 2
Feb 29, 2020Arenas Getxo 1-2 UD LogroñésPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 12, 2019UD Logroñés 4-0 Arenas GetxoPrimera División RFEF - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés on Mar 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Arenas Getxo score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; UD Logroñés score 2.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arenas Getxo1.21.738/157/15
UD Logroñés2.00.696/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Arenas Getxo3815716465552

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés?
The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Arenas Getxo.
Where and when is Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés played?
Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Gobela, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Arenas Getxo and UD Logroñés

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