Lugo vs Cacereño: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 34Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo
The Footlab AI model makes Lugo the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Cacereño. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lugo vs Cacereño?
On Elo ratings, Lugo has 1,967 points and Cacereño 1,929.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lugo vs Cacereño
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lugo
4-3-3- 17Chiqui
- 11M. Dauda
- 16A. Palma
- 20A. Ulloa
- 15P. Parrilla
- 6Kevin Presa
- 5Pol Moreno
- 19R. Lucero
- 4Ibaider Garriz
- 3Pere Haro
- 1Marc Martínez
Cacereño
4-3-3- 18Juan Artola
- 16Sergio Navarro
- 9O. Chit
- 6N. Conesa
- 8Álvaro Gete
- 5Toño Calvo
- 22Adrián Expósito
- 17Sergio López
- 2I. Martinez
- 3Manolo Molina
- 1Diego Nieves
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugo have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Cacereño have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Real Avilés(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Zamora(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 1-2 | Copa Federacion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Lugo wins, 0 draws, 0 Cacereño wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Cacereño 1-2 Lugo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Lugo 1-0 Cacereño | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugo score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cacereño score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugo | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Cacereño | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lugo sit 1st in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (19 points from 7 matches) and Cacereño sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Cacereño | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
A question about Lugo vs Cacereño?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lugo vs Cacereño?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lugo the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Cacereño.
- Where and when is Lugo vs Cacereño played?
- Lugo vs Cacereño is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anxo Carro, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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