Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Omar Higinio Sperdutti, Maipú, Provincia de Mendoza
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Maipu the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Club Atlético Güemes. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Deportivo Maipu starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,788 vs 1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Maipu have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Club Atlético Güemes have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Quilmes(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Godoy Cruz(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Midland(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atlanta(home) | 4-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletico Mitre(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Agropecuario(away) | 0-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Tristan Suarez(home) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Deportivo Maipu win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Club Atlético Güemes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes 1-0 Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Deportivo Maipu 1-1 Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Club Atlético Güemes 1-1 Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Club Atlético Güemes 4-0 Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 22, 2024 | Deportivo Maipu 1-1 Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 3, 2022 | Club Atlético Güemes 2-1 Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Club Atlético Güemes vs Deportivo Maipu on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Maipu score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Club Atlético Güemes score 0.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Maipu | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Club Atlético Güemes | 0.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Maipu sit 7th in Primera Nacional (35 points from 25 matches) and Club Atlético Güemes sit 18th (21 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 27 | 35 |
| 18 | Club Atlético Güemes | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 43 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Maipu the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Club Atlético Güemes.
- Where and when is Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes played?
- Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Omar Higinio Sperdutti, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026TemperleyvsChacarita Juniors
- Oct 17, 2026Atletico MitrevsGodoy Cruz
- Oct 17, 2026Ferro Carril OestevsChaco For Ever
- Oct 17, 2026Gimnasia JujuyvsAtlanta
- Oct 17, 2026QuilmesvsSan Martin Tucuman
- Oct 17, 2026AlmagrovsTristan Suarez
- Oct 17, 2026Nueva ChicagovsSan Martin S.J.
- Oct 17, 2026PatronatovsAgropecuario