Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia Jujuy: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Omar Higinio Sperdutti, Maipú, Provincia de Mendoza
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Maipu the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Gimnasia Jujuy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Deportivo Maipu (1,800) and Gimnasia Jujuy (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Maipu have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Gimnasia Jujuy have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Quilmes(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Godoy Cruz(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Midland(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atlanta(home) | 4-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Patronato(away) | 3-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chaco For Ever(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Tristan Suarez(home) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Quilmes(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colegiales(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Deportivo Maipu win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gimnasia Jujuy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy 1-1 Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Deportivo Maipu 2-0 Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Gimnasia Jujuy 2-0 Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Deportivo Maipu 3-2 Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 31, 2022 | Deportivo Maipu 3-0 Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Gimnasia Jujuy vs Deportivo Maipu on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Maipu score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnasia Jujuy score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Maipu | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Maipu sit 6th in Primera Nacional (38 points from 26 matches) and Gimnasia Jujuy sit 2nd (45 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 45 |
| 6 | Deportivo Maipu | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 27 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Maipu the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Gimnasia Jujuy.
- Where and when is Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia Jujuy played?
- Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia Jujuy is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Omar Higinio Sperdutti, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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